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Thread: World News from Forex Forum Nigeria.

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    Brexit jobs feast pushes up wages in Ireland's financial sector

    Ireland’s allure as a post-Brexit base for global financial firms has driven wages for some roles considerably higher with some positions offering 15 percent more than a year ago.

    Risk and compliance staff are particularly sought after, five of Dublin’s leading recruitment consultants told Reuters. Expertise in data science and newer technologies such as payment platforms is also in demand.

    And upwards pressure on wages could continue, with the central bank expected to approve more firms’ expansion plans in the coming months.

    While the higher pay is good news for workers, it can bring concerns for others. International financial firms only account for 2 percent of Irish jobs but have contributed to a sharp fall in the overall jobless rate. The central bank said last week the economy could overheat if capacity constraints emerge in the labour market.

    “Financial services is one of the areas seeing a definite spike in recruitment,” said Gerard Murnaghan, vice president at job search site Indeed. Its first-quarter postings were up 15 percent year-on-year.

    Although Ireland is widely considered the most vulnerable among EU members to any change in trade after Brexit, the financial services firms want to keep close access to clients after Britain leaves the European Union in 2019.

    Barclays, Legal & General Investment Management and Standard Life Aberdeen are among companies to pick Ireland as a post-Brexit base against stiff competition from rival centres including Luxembourg, Frankfurt and Paris.

    Robert MacGiolla Phadraig, Sigmar Recruitment’s chief commercial officer, said headhunted personnel were securing increases of between 10 percent and 15 percent, with front-office staff able to command the highest salary jumps.

    Two thirds of employers surveyed by Sigmar and accounting firm EY earlier this year said they expected to give staff a pay rise in order to stop poaching by rivals, a practice already accounting for one in four hires.

    “We have reached a tipping point.. this is a talent crisis.”

    Local banks Allied Irish Banks (AIBG.I) and Permanent TSB ILOA.I both said they had lost staff to international rivals in recent weeks, hobbled by a salary cap and ban on share-based remuneration.

    Around a fifth of vacancies are being filled from abroad and more employers were also offering flexible working to help seal the deal.

    Andrew Crawford, head of Experis Ireland, said applicants were coming from as far afield as Australia and the United States, after many had left following the 2008 financial crisis.

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    UK house prices inch up, buy-to-let investors exit market - RICS

    British house prices edged up last month as widespread falls in London weighed on gains further north, while smaller landlords quit the rental sector due to less favourable tax treatment, a survey showed on Thursday.

    The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) monthly house price balance rose to +4 in July from an upwardly revised +3, in line with economists’ forecasts in a Reuters poll.

    Prices in Scotland, Northern Ireland and most of central and northern England rose, while prices in London fell broadly — though not as widely as earlier in the year — and prices in other parts of southern England and in Wales were flat.

    Property priced at over 1 million pounds ($1.29 million) — which is common only in London and nearby areas — was the most likely to see discounts of 10 percent or more on its asking price. Houses advertised for under 500,000 pounds typically sold at or slightly above their asking price.

    The price trends are similar to those reported by others such as mortgage lender Nationwide, which said prices nationally rose by 2.5 percent in the year to the end of July.

    Somewhat faster price rises are expected by surveyors over the next 12 months, but sales volumes are seen falling at the fastest rate since October. Estate agents have few properties to sell, and there has been no pick-up in prospective sellers.

    By contrast, RICS members reported a sharp fall in new rental instructions from smaller landlords, who are losing the ability to deduct mortgage interest and many other expenses from their tax bills, and also face higher purchase taxes.

    “The impact of recent and ongoing tax changes is clearly having a material impact on the buy-to-let sector as intended. The risk ... is that a reduced pipeline of supply will gradually feed through into higher rents,” RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn said.

    RICS predicted a 2 percent increase in rents over the next 12 months and a 15 percent rise over a five-year period. Average rents rose 0.4 percent over the past year, official data shows.

    Former finance minister George Osborne set out initial changes to the taxation of smaller landlords in 2015 to boost falling home-ownership rates. Commercial landlords who own several properties via an investment company are less affected.

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    UK economy on track to grow at fastest since fourth quarter 2016 - NIESR

    Britain’s economy looks on track to grow at its fastest rate since the tail end of 2016, according to an estimate from the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) on Friday.

    NIESR forecast growth would pick up to a quarterly rate of 0.5 percent during the current quarter, its highest since the final quarter of 2016, after official figures showed growth accelerated to 0.4 percent in the three months to June.

    “Growth is now close to our estimate of potential,” NIESR economist Amit Kara said.

    “Looking ahead, there is some evidence to suggest that services sector output has stabilised while the relatively small construction sector continues to gather momentum,” he added.

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    Barclays shifting ownership of European branches to Irish unit ahead of Brexit

    Barclays (BARC.L) has begun shifting direct ownership of its French, German and Spanish branches from a British-based entity to its Irish bank, according to sources with direct knowledge of the plans, ahead of Britain’s exit from the European Union.

    The move shows Barclays putting its Brexit contingency plans into action, in common with other banks which are not waiting for the outcome of negotiations over how financial services will operate after Britain leaves the EU in March.

    The British bank outlined plans to expand its EU-based Irish entity in a slide presentation to investors earlier this month, saying the unit would primarily consist of Barclays corporate, investment and private banking activities and its Barclaycard credit card business in Germany.

    In addition to the French, German, and Spanish branches, Barclays will ultimately move all of its European branches under control of Barclays Bank Ireland, one of the sources said.

    Its other main corporate and investment banking businesses in Europe include Luxembourg, Switzerland, Portugal, Italy and the Netherlands, according to a Reuters review of company filings.

    Barclays Bank Ireland will have total assets of around 224 billion pounds after absorbing all the European business, Barclays said in its presentation to investors, out of 1.1 trillion pounds for the entire bank as of the end of 2017.

    Barclays no longer operates a consumer banking business in Europe, having sold the last of its retail operation in 2016 as the bank shifted its global strategy to focus on the United States and Britain.

    While Barclays’ European branches will still ultimately be owned by its London-listed holding company, the change in organisational structure shows how lenders are shifting business to try to avoid any disruption that Brexit might cause.

    Banks are trying to ensure that even under a ‘no-deal’ scenario, where Britain would crash out of the EU without any agreements in place, they would still be able to serve EU customers as before.

    British banks have largely chosen to base their main European hubs wherever they already have a suitably licensed existing subsidiary, as they seek to minimise costs and inconvenience in the event a last-minute deal renders the reorganisations unnecessary.

    Barclays rival HSBC (HSBA.L) has begun shifting direct ownership of its European branches from its British entity to its French subsidiary, while Lloyds (LLOY.L) is planning three EU subsidiaries, Reuters reported in July.

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    UK jobless rate falls to new 43-year-low, but pay growth weakens

    Britain’s unemployment rate fell to its lowest in over 43 years in the three months to June and fewer workers made do with insecure jobs, but there was little upside for most as pay growth slowed to its weakest in nine months.

    Tuesday’s official figures also showed the sharpest annual decline in the number of EU workers in Britain since 1997, continuing a trend seen since the 2016’s vote to leave the EU, and a pick-up in annual productivity growth.

    Despite some positive elements, the figures painted a largely familiar picture of a tight labour market — including a record number of job vacancies — failing to translate into strong wage growth.

    Britain’s economy warmed up a little in the second quarter from its winter slowdown of early 2018, official data showed last week, but there was no sign of an end to its lacklustre performance in the run-up to next March’s Brexit.

    “This will not be what the Bank of England will have wanted to see, as one of the justifications for (its) decision to hike rates earlier this month was that it was expecting wage growth to start lifting off. This hasn’t happened yet,” said Emma-Lou Montgomery, an associate director at Fidelity International.

    The BoE raised interest rates on Aug. 2 for only the second time since the financial crisis.

    Tuesday’s data showed productivity grew at its fastest annual rate since late 2016 and the number of people whose main job was an insecure zero-hours contract fell by the most since 2000, the Office for National Statistics said.

    The unemployment rate fell to 4.0 percent in the April-June period, the Office for National Statistics said. That was the lowest since the three months to February 1975 and beat economists’ forecasts in a Reuters poll for it to hold steady at a previous low of 4.2 percent.

    The drop came despite a smaller-than-expected number of jobs created over the three-month period, 42,000 — less than half the average forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.

    Sterling briefly rose above $1.28 against a broadly weaker dollar, as Tuesday’s data helped a struggling pound move away from 13-month lows plumbed last week .

    Total annual wage growth slowed to a nine-month low of 2.4 percent, below forecasts for it to hold at 2.5 percent. The ONS said changes to the timing of annual bonus payments was partly responsible.

    Excluding bonuses, pay growth fell to 2.7 percent, well below the 4 percent rate typical before the financial crisis a decade ago.

    Output per hour worked grew by 1.5 percent year-on-year in the April-June period, the biggest increase since late 2016 after a 0.9 percent rise in the first quarter of 2018.

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