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Thread: Dow jones index

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    U.S. markets close higher; Dow Jones up 1.36%


    2011-03-17 20:10:00 GMT (Forex Pros)
    Forex Pros - U.S. stocks were up after the closing bell on Thursday.

    At the close of U.S. trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.36%, the S&P 500 index gained 1.29%, while the Nasdaq 100 index climbed 0.95%.

    Earlier in the day, official data showed that U.S. Initial Jobless Claims fell more-than-expected to a seasonally adjusted 385.00K last week from 401.00K in the preceding week whose figure was revised up from 397.00K.

    Analysts had expected Initial Jobless Claims to fall to 387.00K last week.

    Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, European stock markets closed higher. France’s CAC 40 was up 2.43%; Germany’s DAX gained 2.17%; Britain’s FTSE 100 climbed 1.68%; and the EURO STOXX 50 rose 2.39%.

    http://www.forexpros.com/news/stock-...up-1.36-201727

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    Dollar Index

    The US dollar index is currently trading near 76.14 levels, up by 0.13% after positive data released from the economy. Immediate support is at 75.78 levels while immediate resistance is at 76.32 levels followed by 76.55 levels. Short Term: Bearish and Medium Term: Bullish.

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    DOW JONES INDEX

    Today's support: - 11670.71, 11590.13, 11514.57 and 11494.68(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 11468.30, where correction also can be. Then follows 11424.36. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 11386.00. Continuation will bring 11363.90 and 11344.21.

    Today's resistance: - 11801.26(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 11843.44, where a correction may happen. Then follows 11883.51, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 11901.09. Continuation would bring 11926.12 and 11983.25.

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    Daily Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels

    Tue, Mar 22 2011, 01:15 GMT
    Several words about the EUR/USD future.
    Resistance (daily close) : 1.3182, 1.3364, 1.3590 and 1.3778. After that 1.3958, 1.4186 and 1.4400. Break of the latter will give 1.4490, 1.4692 и 1.4884. Then 1.5117, 1.5386, 1.5592 и 1.5660. Break of 1.5660 would lead to 1.5865, 1.7280 and 1.9430(published on 23.10.2008).
    Support (daily close) : 1.2610, 1.2428 and 1.2246. Then 1.2128, 1.1970, 1.1838 and 1.1700. Break of the latter would give 1.1533, 1.1352 and 1.1181(published оn 23.10.2008).

    Dow Jones :
    Resistance(daily close) : 9382.12, 9744.26, 10 091.30, 10 935.23, 11 164.57, 11 344.92 and 11 520.30. Then 11 749.22, 11 970.00, 12 152.82, 12 600.24, 12 982.20, 13 162.50 and 13 320.00. Break of the latter will lead to 13 567.60, 13 668.74 and 13 792.53 (published on October 21, 2008).
    Support (daily close): 9630.33 and 9358.35(main), 9090.00, 8912.62 (published on November 10, 2009).

    Light Crude :
    Support (daily close): 39.36, 34.88, 31.28, 23.17, 19.57, 15.10, 11.70, 9.64, 8.11 and 6.98(published on December 07, 2008).
    Resistance(daily close): 95.73, 98.21, 99.45, 101.48 and 102.27 (published on October 30, 2007). Next levels 103.73, 105.32, 106.54, 109.35, 112.56 and 117.28. Then follow 121.50, 124.03 and 126.56(added on February 29, 2008). Continuation will bring 132.73, 135.08, 139.92, 141.46 and 144.00( added on May 12, 2008).
    Next levels : 149.06, 151.88, 154.13, 157.36, 159.46, 162.00, 169.87 and 172.13(added on July 04, 2008).

    EUR/USD

    Today’s support: - 1.4177 and 1.4104(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4087, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4068. Break of the latter would result in 1.4027. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.3996. Continuation will give 1.3973 and 1.3916.
    Today’s resistance: - 1.4275 and 1.4308(main). Break would give 1.4331, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4356. Break of the latter would result in 1.4378. If a strong impulse, we’d see 1.4403. Continuation will give 1.4427.

    USD/JPY

    Today’s support: - 80.55 and 80.13(main). Break would bring 79.74, where correction is possible. Then 79.21, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 78.86. If a strong impulse, we would see 78.18. Continuation would give 77.62.
    Today’s resistance: - 81.41 and 81.78(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 81.96, where also a correction may be. Then 82.24. If a strong impulse, we would see 82.57. Continuation will give 82.80.

    DOW JONES INDEX

    Today’s support: - 11947.46, 11902.68 and 11868.75(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 11840.62, where correction also can be. Then follows 11801.26. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 11790.00. Continuation will bring 11768.30 and 11733.75.
    Today’s resistance: - 12071.27 and 12108.00(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 12127.52, where a correction may happen. Then follows 12160.28, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we’d see 12183.75. Continuation would bring 12222.11 and 12250.23.

    http://www.fxstreet.com/technical/an...ls/2011/03/22/

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    Dollar Index: The US dollar index is currently trading near oversold levels at 75.23 after February Existing Home Sales fell -9.6%. Treasury Sec Geithner Speech is due today. Support is at 75.23 levels while immediate resistance is at 75.77 levels followed by 76.20 levels. Short Term: Bearish and Medium Term: Bullish

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    Tue, 22 Mar 2011 12:18:58 GMT

    EQUITIES: US stock index futures are pointing to a modestly higher open: Dow +0.14% S&P +0.01% Nasdaq +0.15%

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    DOW JONES INDEX

    Today's support: - 12060.00 and 12010.51(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 11968.24, where correction also can be. Then follows 11947.46. Be there a strong impulse, we shall see 11902.68. Continuation will bring 11868.72.

    Today's resistance: - 12195.06(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 12222.11, where a correction may happen. Then follows 12240.00, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we'd see 12250.23. Continuation would bring 12277.26 and 12295.23.

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    U.S. stock-index futures cling to small gains

    NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures held on to small gains Monday as investors prepared for the kick-off of earnings season and as cooling operations at Japan’s damaged nuclear-power complex resumed in the wake of an aftershock to last month’s earthquake.

    Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 index /quotes/comstock/21m!f:sp\m11 (SPM11 1,326, +2.00, +0.15%) rose 2.1 points to 1.325.9, while Nasdaq 100 futures /quotes/comstock/21m!f:nd\m11 (NDM11 2,326, +7.50, +0.32%) gained 7.25 points to 2,325.25.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average futures /quotes/comstock/21b!f:dj\m11 (DJM11 12,341, +15.00, +0.12%) added 18 points to 12,344. On Friday, the Dow /quotes/comstock/10w!i:dji/delayed (DJIA 12,380, -29.44, -0.24%) ended with a loss of 29.44 points to 12,380.05, making for a flat performance on the week.
    A key question for investors will be whether companies trim their 2011 forecasts as inflation squeezes margins, said Michael Hewson, market analyst at CMC Markets.
    Signs that the interest-rate cycle is beginning to turn toward tightening may also leave investors wary of pressing gains at current levels, he said.

    Expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve to conclude its second round of quantitative easing in June may continue to hang over the market, leaving investors to wonder “what happens when the sugar rush of that liquidity” is withdrawn, he said.
    Alcoa earnings due
    Earnings season kicks off after Monday’s closing bell with the release of Alcoa Inc.’s /quotes/comstock/13*!aa/quotes/nls/aa (AA 18.08, +0.16, +0.89%) latest results, which are expected to have benefited from a strong rise in aluminum prices. On average, analysts surveyed by FactSet Research expect Alcoa to report a quarterly profit of 27 cents a share on revenue of $6.14 billion. Read more about upcoming earnings season.

    “Risk appetite as a driver might be tested more thoroughly this week. Indeed, the [first-quarter] U.S. earnings season kicks off and the three main U.S. indices are at or near highs,” wrote strategists at KBC Bank in a note.

    “So, investors will have to make up their mind and decide whether the earnings and the economic outlook warrant another up-leg [for] equities or whether the steep rally that started at the end of August ... is over and correction time has arrived,” they said.

    No major U.S. economic data are set for release Monday, while Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to speak in New York.

    In corporate news, Minnesota-based American Medical Systems Holdings Inc. /quotes/comstock/15*!ammd/quotes/nls/ammd (AMMD 29.50, +7.17, +32.11%) said it will be acquired by Pennsylvania-based Endo Pharmaceuticals Holdings Inc. /quotes/comstock/15*!endp/quotes/nls/endp (ENDP 43.20, +2.35, +5.75%) for $30 a share. The deal is valued at $2.9 billion, including Endo’s assumption of $312 million of American Medical Systems’ debt.

    Wal-Mart Stores Inc. /quotes/comstock/13*!wmt/quotes/nls/wmt (WMT 52.52, -0.02, -0.04%) , the world’s largest retailer, said Monday that it would implement a range of new competitive measures, including a plan to work more closely with suppliers to cut costs and to check competitors’ pricing more often.

    The board of NYSE Euronext Inc. /quotes/comstock/13*!nyx/quotes/nls/nyx (NYX 38.20, -0.50, -1.29%) on Sunday rejected the unsolicited $11.3 billion takeover offer from Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. /quotes/comstock/15*!ndaq/quotes/nls/ndaq (NDAQ 28.45, -0.62, -2.13%) and IntercontinentalExchange Inc. /quotes/comstock/13*!ice/quotes/nls/ice (ICE 120.55, -1.71, -1.40%) .

    April 11, 2011, 9:09 a.m. EDT
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-...ins-2011-04-11

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    U.S. Stocks Decline as Energy Shares Slump Amid IMF Forecast; GM Retreats

    U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index down for a third day, after oil dropped from a 30-month high as the International Monetary Fund cut its growth forecast for the world’s largest economy.

    Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) and Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) slumped at least 3.1 percent as crude oil fell 2.5 percent. General Motors Co. (GM) retreated 2.4 percent after China said 2011 car sales may trail forecasts. Tyco International Ltd. (TYC) rise 3.3 percent as three people with knowledge of the matter told Bloomberg News that Schneider Electric SA (SU) is weighing a takeover offer for the maker of security systems.

    The S&P 500 dropped 0.3 percent to 1,324.46 at 4 p.m. in New York. The benchmark gauge had the longest losing streak in almost a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.06 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 12,381.11.

    “There’s clearly a defensive tone,” said Bruce McCain, who oversees $22 billion as chief investment strategist at the private-banking unit of KeyCorp in Cleveland. “The IMF report got people concerned,” he said. “The stock market is stuck, trying to break the previous high. There’s hope that the first- quarter earnings season will be good and that we’ll see more takeovers. That would be good for stocks.”

    The S&P 500 has risen 5.3 percent in 2011 amid government stimulus measures and as corporate profits beat analysts’ estimates for an eighth straight quarter. Earnings for S&P 500 companies rose 12 percent in the first quarter and will increase 17 percent this year, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
    Crude Oil Slumps

    Oil fell from a 30-month high after the International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for U.S. growth this year, predicting higher oil prices and the pace of job gains will restrain the recovery.

    The world’s largest economy will expand 2.8 percent this year, down from the 3 percent projected in January, the IMF said today. Global gross domestic product will grow 4.4 percent in 2011, matching the previous estimate, according to the Washington-based lender’s World Economic Outlook report.

    Consumer spending, the biggest part of the U.S. economy, faces headwinds from the rising cost of food and gasoline. Federal Reserve officials last month said the expansion is on “firmer footing,” lessening the need to extend a bond purchase program beyond June.
    ‘Lackluster’

    “Recovery in the labor market remains lackluster,” the IMF said in the report. “The drag on 2011 growth from oil price increases largely offsets the boost from the Federal Reserve’s unconventional policies and from stronger net exports.”

    Energy shares in the S&P 500 dropped 1.9 percent, the biggest decline among 10 industries. Occidental Petroleum fell 3.2 percent to $100.42. Anadarko Petroleum slumped 4.3 percent to $81.11.

    Automakers had the biggest drop in the S&P 500 within 24 industries, falling 2.2 percent. GM, which sold 28 percent of its cars last year in China, slumped 2.4 percent to $30.77.

    China’s passenger-car sales may grow at a slower pace this year than was earlier estimated by a group of the nation’s automakers after the government ended incentives for purchases and raised fuel prices.

    Sales growth in China this year may fail to reach a previous estimate by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers for a 10 percent to 15 percent increase, said Dong Yang, vice chairman of the association.
    ‘Too Low’

    “I am concerned about whether our growth rate is too low,” Dong said at a briefing in Beijing yesterday. “Some automakers’ profitability may be undermined this year and some may even face difficulties in their operations.”

    Tyco International climbed 3.3 percent to $48.72. Schneider Electric is weighing a takeover offer for Tyco that would make the French company the world’s biggest maker of security systems, said three people with knowledge of the matter. Schneider is working with bankers to help it assess a potential acquisition of Tyco, said the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter is private.

    Schneider’s efforts are at an early stage and no deal is imminent, the people said. Tyco, based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland, had a market value of $22.3 billion as of April 8.

    Alcoa Inc. (AA) slumped 0.8 percent to $17.77. After the close of U.S. exchanges, the largest U.S. aluminum producer reported first-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates after prices rose for the lightweight metal. The shares lost 2.9 percent to $17.25 at 4:54 p.m. in New York.
    Put Spreads

    Investors should buy May S&P 500 puts or put spreads to protect from U.S. stock declines or use straddles or strangles to bet volatility will increase as earnings season begins, UBS AG said. Fewer companies are likely to beat analysts’ estimates for the past quarter while more may cut forecasts, equity derivatives strategist Mitchell Revsine wrote in a report.

    Higher commodity prices may cause companies to miss estimates and reduce forecasts, and Japan’s tsunami will cause some to reduce earnings guidance, Revsine wrote.

    “Market volatility may increase during earnings season,” the New York-based strategist said. “We recommend investors buy May Index options for exposure to potential increased market volatility through earnings and/or as a portfolio hedge.”

    Apr 12, 2011 3:57 AM GMT+0700
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...-retreats.html

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    U.S. Stocks Decline, Sending S&P 500 Index Lower for a Fourth Straight Day

    U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for a fourth day, as Japan raised the severity rating of its nuclear crisis to the highest level, oil plunged and Alcoa Inc. (AA)’s sales missed estimates.

    Chevron Corp. (CVX) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) declined at least 3.1 percent as commodity prices slumped on speculation investors may avoid riskier assets after Japan’s radiation alert matched the 1986 Chernobyl disaster. Alcoa, the largest U.S. aluminum producer, tumbled 6 percent after saying first-quarter earnings were curbed by a weaker U.S. dollar and higher energy and raw-material costs.

    The S&P 500 declined 0.8 percent to 1,314.16 at 4 p.m. in New York. The benchmark index had the longest losing stretch since November. The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 117.53 points, or 1 percent, to 12,263.58 today. Crude oil slumped 3.3 percent to $106.25 a barrel. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, climbed 3 percent to 17.09.

    “We’ve gone from a period of knocking the cover off the ball to just treading water,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Chicago-based Harris Private Bank, which oversees $60 billion. “We’ve been approaching the earnings season with trepidation because high energy and commodity prices are going to crimp profit margins. Not only will higher costs crimp profits but it will also prompt consumers to cut back on discretionary spending.”
    Corporate Profits

    The S&P 500 has risen 4.5 percent in 2011 amid government stimulus measures and higher-than-estimated corporate profits. In the first three months of last year, 78 percent of S&P 500 companies topped the average projection, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The figure was the second-highest ever, trailing only the 80 percent recorded in the third quarter of 2009. Since then, the percentage approached the historical average of 60 percent. The fourth-quarter figure, 68 percent, was the lowest for the current bull market.

    The MSCI All-Country World Index of shares in 45 countries fell 1.2 percent, the biggest decline in about a month. Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency today raised the rating for its nuclear crisis to 7. The accident at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi station was previously rated 5 on the global scale, the same as the 1979 partial reactor meltdown at Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania.
    Radiation

    The stricken nuclear plant, located about 220 kilometers (135 miles) north of Tokyo, is leaking radiation in Japan’s worst civilian nuclear disaster after a magnitude-9 quake and tsunami on March 11. Tokyo Electric Power Co. said its plant, which has withstood hundreds of aftershocks, may spew more radiation than Chernobyl before the crisis is contained.

    “Investors are taking some risk off the table,” said Madelynn Matlock, who helps oversee $14.4 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “Every time you mention the word radiation, you end up scaring people. I don’t think there were any illusions that Japan was not one of the most serious nuclear accidents we’ve seen.”

    Japan’s Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister Kaoru Yosano said the March 11 earthquake may result in a larger hit to the economy than previously seen, indicating a greater appetite for stimulus one month after the disaster.

    Prices of goods imported into the U.S. rose in March at the fastest pace since June 2009, led by a gain in crude oil and the biggest jump in food costs since 1994. The 2.7 percent increase in the import-price index exceeded a 2.1 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Prices excluding fuel rose 0.6 percent.
    Improving Economy

    Directors at Federal Reserve regional banks saw the economy improving even as energy prices rose and governments at all levels cut spending, according to minutes of Board of Governors’ meetings in February and March.

    “Federal Reserve Bank directors generally viewed recent information as showing the economic recovery was progressing,” the minutes said, adding that directors saw “downside risks posed by rising energy and commodity prices and by increased fiscal stringency.”

    Energy and raw-material producers had the two biggest declines in the S&P 500 within 10 industries today, falling at least 1.3 percent. Chevron, the second-largest U.S. energy company, dropped 3.3 percent to $104.18. Freeport, the largest publicly traded copper producer, lost 3.1 percent to $53.70.
    Alcoa Tumbles

    Alcoa slumped 6 percent, the most in the Dow average, to $16.70. The company’s sales increased 22 percent from a year earlier to $5.96 billion, Alcoa said yesterday in a statement. That trailed the $6.06 billion average estimate of eight analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

    U.S. banks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC) may report weak revenue for the first quarter after lending by the industry dropped in almost every category. Bank loans and leases fell $87.4 billion to $6.97 trillion from the end of 2010 through March 30, or 1.3 percent, according to Federal Reserve data. Deposits at U.S. banks rose the same percentage to $7.97 trillion, showing households and businesses are still hoarding cash instead of borrowing, analysts said.

    “While loan growth tends to be seasonally weak in the first quarter, this quarter is tracking worse than seasonality would suggest,” Barclays Capital Inc. analysts led by Jason Goldberg wrote in an April 8 report. “We fear companies have been disappointed.”

    Investors will get their first look at the quarter’s results tomorrow when New York-based JPMorgan, ranked second by assets in the U.S., is scheduled to report. The biggest lender, Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America, will report April 15, followed next week by New York-based Citigroup Inc. (C) and San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), ranked third and fourth by assets.

    Apr 13, 2011 3:52 AM GMT+0700
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...estimates.html

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