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Thread: Forex news from InstaForex(Part 2)

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    Dollar Bounces Back but Worries over Deficit and Inflation Persist

    The dollar continues to pull back from three-year lows hit the previous week. However, its outlook was clouded by
    concerns that the swelling U.S. fiscal deficit could disrupt the economy.

    The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, stood 0.3 percent higher at 89.346, continuing its rebound from a three-year low of 88.253 set on Friday.

    The greenback has been weakening in recent months, with the positive impetus from rising U.S. interest rates counterbalanced by several bearish factors.

    Worries about the U.S. budget deficit, which is projected to balloon to over $1 trillion in 2019 amid a government spending splurge and large corporate tax cuts, have also weighed on the dollar. The dollar gained 0.15 percent at 106.760 yen, rising from a 15-month trough of 105.545 set on Friday. The euro fell 0.15 percent to $1.2387, retreating from Friday's three-year peak of $1.2556.

    U.S. markets were closed on Monday for a holiday, and the focus will be on whether Wall Street can maintain its recovery once trading resumes.

    The Dow gained 4.5 percent last week, regaining more than half of the territory lost during a sharp downturn earlier in the month.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...tml?is_prime=1

    ---------- Post added 02-21-2018 at 11:34 AM ---------- Previous post was 02-20-2018 at 12:25 PM ----------

    UK Jobless Rate Rises In Q4

    The UK jobless rate increased in the fourth quarter, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday.

    The ILO unemployment rate rose by 0.1 percentage points to 4.4 percent in three months to December.

    In the same period of last year, the rate was 4.8 percent. The rate was forecast to remain unchanged at 4.3 percent.

    The number of unemployed rose by 46,000 from the September quarter to 1.47 million. At the same time, the employment rate rose to 75.2 percent from 74.6 percent a year ago.


    There were 32.15 million people in work. Average earnings including and excluding bonuses grew 2.5 percent each on a yearly basis in three months ended December. In January, the claimant count rate fell to 2.3 percent from 2.4 percent in December.

    The number of people claiming unemployment benefits decreased by 7,200 in January.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...es_in_q4_.html

    ---------- Post added 02-22-2018 at 07:55 AM ---------- Previous post was 02-21-2018 at 11:34 AM ----------

    Gold Prices Flat, Weighed Down by U.S. Interest Rate Outlook



    Gold prices held steady around a one-week low on Thursday, weighed down by minutes from the last U.S.

    Federal Reserve meeting that showed policymakers backed further interest rate hikes. Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $1,323.95 per ounce, a day after it dropped to its lowest in a week at 1,322.20.

    The precious metal has declined 1.7 percent so far this week. U.S. gold futures were 0.5 percent lower at $1,325.8 per ounce. Spot gold is expected to test a support at $1,316 per ounce, a break below which could cause a loss to the next support at $1,303, according to Reuters technical analyst, Wang Tao.

    Gold prices have dropped more than one percent this week as the dollar rebounded from three-year lows.

    On Tuesday, bullion lost 1.3 percent, the most on any day since Dec. 7, as a rise in U.S. yields lifted the dollar and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered near a four-year peak. Interest in physical gold has been muted this week during the Lunar New Year holiday across much of Asia, including major consumer China.

    Among other precious metals, silver dropped 0.4 percent to $16.43 an ounce, while palladium fell 0.1 percent to $1,019.25 per ounce and platinum rose 0.2 percent at $989.40 after touching a more than one-week low of $983.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...tml?is_prime=1
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    UK Economy Falls Behind G7 after 2017 Growth Rate Cut



    Britain's economy was weaker than initially thought in 2017, official data showed, leaving the country falling further behind the global recovery as it braces to leave the European Union.

    The downgrade of the full-year and fourth-quarter growth rates also raised questions about the strength of the economy as the Bank of England prepares to increase interest rates.

    Gross domestic product growth slowed to a quarterly 0.4 percent from an initial estimate of 0.5 percent, wrong-footing economists and cutting 2017 growth as a whole to 1.7 percent, its weakest since 2012.

    But the UK has relied heavily on the robust global economy to sustain its economic expansion while consumers have been squeezed by higher inflation caused by the fall in the pound after the Brexit vote.

    BoE Governor Mark Carney said this month that rates would probably need to increase sooner and by somewhat more than the central bank had thought in November, when it raised borrowing costs for the first time in a decade.

    Britain's year-on-year economic expansion of 1.4 percent in the last three months of 2017 was not just its weakest in five years but also the lowest of any of the economies in the Group of Seven, including long-term laggards such as Japan and Italy. Sterling was little changed after Thursday's data and government bond prices increased marginally.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...tml?is_prime=1
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    Crude Oil Barely Budges To Start Week

    Crude oil futures were little changed Monday morning, holding recent gains amid expectation for robust U.S. production.

    U.S. drillers continued to add rigs last week, according to oilfield services giant Baker Hughes.

    Oil has been firmly above $60 a barrel on reports that Saudi Arabia is content with prices this high.

    It was thought that the Saudis feared U.S. competitors would flood the market if oil got to $65-70.

    WTI light sweet oil was up 5 cents at $63.61 a barrel. On the economic front, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index for January will be issued at 8.30 am ET.

    The Commerce Department's New Home Sales for January will be published at 10.00 am ET.

    Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey for February is expected at 10.30 am ET.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...art_week_.html

    ---------- Post added 02-27-2018 at 09:16 AM ---------- Previous post was 02-26-2018 at 02:59 PM ----------

    Gold Prices Steady on Weaker Dollar; Fed’s Powell Testimony in Focus

    Gold prices were steady on Tuesday as the dollar was also little changed while investors awaited U.S.

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's first congressional testimony for clues on the future pace of monetary tightening.

    Spot gold edged down 0.1 percent to $1,331.86 an ounce.

    U.S. gold futures rose 0.1 percent at $1,333.55 per ounce. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, fell 0.1 percent to 89.813.

    The index has rebounded 1.7 percent since falling to a three-year low of 88.25 on Feb. 16.

    Powell's debut appearance is seen as critical for financial markets at a time when many investors are nervous about the Fed's policy normalisation following years of stimulus after the financial crisis almost a decade ago. Spot gold is expected to break a resistance at $1,339 per ounce and rise more to the next resistance at $1,348, as suggested by its wave pattern and a projection analysis, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

    SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings climbed 0.21 percent to 831.03 tonnes on Monday from 829.26 tonnes on Friday.

    Among other precious metals, silver fell 0.2 percent to $16.62 an ounce. Palladium was flat at $1,060.85 per ounce and platinum lost 0.4 percent at $995.74 per ounce.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...tml?is_prime=1

    ---------- Post added 02-28-2018 at 08:48 AM ---------- Previous post was 02-27-2018 at 09:16 AM ----------

    Finland Q4 GDP Growth Accelerates

    Finland's economic growth improved in the three months ended December, after easing in the previous two quarters, preliminary figures from Statistics Finland showed Wednesday.

    Gross domestic product advanced a seasonally adjusted 0.7 percent sequentially in the fourth quarter, faster than the 0.2 percent rise in the third quarter, which was revised down from 0.4 percent.

    During the second quarter of this year, the rate of expansion was 0.6 percent. On the expenditure side, the volume of private consumption grew 0.7 percent over the quarter, while gross fixed capital formation dropped by 0.4 percent.

    Both exports and imports climbed by 2.2 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively. On a yearly basis, the economy expanded at a faster pace of 2.7 percent in the December quarter, after a 2.5 percent increase in the September quarter.

    During the whole year 2017, the volume of GDP grew 3.0 percent compared with 2016.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...elerates_.html
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    U.S. Service Sector Growth Decelerates Slightly In February

    Activity in the U.S. service sector grew at a slightly slower rate in the month of February, according to a report released by the Institute for Supply Management on Monday.

    The ISM said its non-manufacturing index edged down to 59.5 in February from 59.9 in January, although a reading above 50 still indicates growth in the service sector. Economists had expected the index to dip to 59.0.

    The modest decrease by the index was partly due to a slowdown in the pace of job growth in the service sector, as the employment index dropped to 55.0 in February from 61.6 I January. The prices index also slipped to 61.0 in February from 61.9 in January, indicating a modest slowdown in the pace of price growth. On the other hand, the new orders index rose to 64.8 in February from 62.7 in January, and the business activity index climbed to 62.8 from 59.8.

    "According to the NMI, 16 non-manufacturing industries reported growth," said Anthony Nieves, Chair of the ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The non-manufacturing sector reflected the second consecutive month of strong growth in February."

    "The decrease in the Employment Index possibly prevented an even stronger reading for the NMI composite index," he added. "The majority of respondents' continue to be positive about business conditions and the economy." Last Thursday, the ISM released a separate report showing its index of activity in the manufacturing sector rose to a nearly fourteen-year high in February.

    The ISM said its purchasing managers index climbed to 60.8 in February from 59.1 in January, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in the manufacturing sector. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 58.7. With the unexpected increase, the purchasing managers index reached its highest level since hitting 61.4 in May of 2004.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...in_februa.html

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    U.S. Dollar Advances Against Most Majors

    Reversing direction, the U.S. dollar climbed against its most major counterparts in pre-European deals on Tuesday.

    The greenback bounced off to 1.3817 against the pound, 0.9406 against the franc and 1.2334 against the euro, from its early lows of 1.3863, 0.9386 and 1.2363, respectively.


    The greenback also recovered to 1.2990 against the loonie and 0.7759 against the aussie, off its early low of 1.2962 and a multi-day low of 0.7792, respectively.

    If the greenback rises further, it may find resistance around 1.35 against the pound, 0.97 against the franc, 1.22 against the euro, 1.31 against the loonie and 0.76 against the aussie.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...t_majors_.html
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    Gold Gains As Dollar Slumps

    Gold futures were higher Tuesday morning even as the precious metal lost some of its safe haven appeal.

    Gold was up $8 to $1328/oz as the dollar as the dollar weakened versus major rivals. Yesterday, President Donald Trump criticized Canada and Mexico, and suggested that the neighboring countries could avoid forthcoming tariffs if they agree to a renegotiated NAFTA.

    Trump lashed out against two of America's top trading partners in a couple of Monday morning posts on Twitter.

    Trader will be paying attention to a trio of Federal Reserve speakers today, including NY Fed Pres William Dudley and Dallas Fed Pres Robert Kaplan.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...r_slumps_.html

    ---------- Post added 03-08-2018 at 07:21 AM ---------- Previous post was 03-07-2018 at 09:12 AM ----------

    U.S. Trade Deficit Grew to Over a 9-Year Peak

    The U.S. trade deficit rose to a more than nine-year high in January, with the shortfall with China widening sharply, suggesting that President Donald Trump's “America First” trade policies aimed at eradicating the deficit will likely fail.

    The trade gap continues to widen a year into the Trump presidency. Trump, who claims that the United States is being taken advantage of by its trading partners, has imposed tariffs on imports of some goods and threatened punitive measures on others to shield domestic industries from competition. The protectionist measures have fueled fears of a trade war.

    According to the Commerce Department, the trade deficit soared 5.0 percent to $56.6 billion. That was the highest level since October 2008 and exceeded economists' expectations of an increase to $55.1 billion. Part of the rise in the trade gap in January reflected higher commodity prices. The politically sensitive goods trade deficit with China surged 16.7 percent to $36.0 billion, the highest since September 2015.

    The deficit with Canada soared 65 percent to a three-year high of $3.6 billion. China and Canada are the United States' top trading partners. The economy is almost at full employment, the increase in demand spurred by the $1.5 trillion tax package will probably be satisfied with imports, further worsening the trade deficit.

    The economy's strong fundamentals were highlighted by a separate report from ADP Research Institute showing private employers added 235,000 jobs in February.

    The report, which is jointly developed with Moody's Analytics, was published ahead of the government's more comprehensive employment data on Friday.

    The unemployment rate is forecast falling one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.0 percent, which would be the lowest level since December 2000. The economy expanded at a 2.5 percent annualized rate in the fourth quarter. Growth estimates for the first quarter are around a 2.0 percent pace.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...tml?is_prime=1
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    European Economics Preview: UK Industrial Production Data Due

    Industrial production and foreign trade figures from the UK and Germany are due on Friday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news. At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is set to publish Germany's industrial production and foreign trade reports.

    Economists forecast output to expand 0.7 percent on month in January, in contrast to a 0.6 percent drop in the previous month.

    Also, consumer and producer prices from Norway are due. Inflation is seen at 1.8 percent in February versus 1.6 percent in January. At 2.45 am ET, the French statistical office Insee releases industrial and manufacturing output figures.

    Economists forecast industrial production to drop 0.3 percent on month in January, in contrast to a 0.5 percent rise in December. At 3.00 am ET, Spain's INE publishes industrial production data.

    Spain's production is forecast to grow 5.1 percent annually in January after climbing 6.1 percent in December. In the meantime, consumer prices and foreign trade from the Czech Republic are due. At 4.00 am ET, Italy's producer price figures are due for January. Producer prices had advanced 2.2 percent on year in December. At 4.30 am ET, the Office for National Statistics publishes UK industrial production and foreign trade data. Economists forecast industrial output to grow 1.5 percent on month in January, in contrast to a 1.3 percent drop in December.

    In the meantime, UK visible trade data is due. The trade deficit is seen at GBP 11.9 billion in January compared to December's GBP 13.57 billion shortfall. At 7.00 am ET, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research is set to issue UK GDP estimate for three months to February.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...uction_da.html
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    Romania Jan Exports Up 15.9% On Year, Imports Rise 17.3%



    Romania Jan Exports Up 15.9% On Year, Imports Rise 17.3%

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...rise_173_.html
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    Euro Slips Against Majors

    The euro declined against its major counterparts in the European session on Monday. The euro eased to 1.1683 against the Swiss franc and 1.2290 against the greenback, from its early high of 1.1716 and a 4-day high of 1.2341, respectively. The euro reversed from an early high of 131.70 against the yen, easing to 130.97.

    The euro hit an 11-day low of 0.8865 against the pound, reversing from an early high of 0.8897. The single currency slipped to near a 2-week low of 1.5632 against the aussie and an 11-day low of 1.6825 against the kiwi, off its previous highs of 1.5685 and 1.6889, respectively.

    The euro eased back to 1.5771 against the loonie, from a high of 1.5810 hit at 4:00 am ET.

    The next possible suppport for the euro is seen around 1.20 against the greenback, 0.86 against the pound, 1.14 against the Swiss franc, 127.00 against the yen, 1.55 against the aussie, 1.55 against the loonie and 1.67 against the kiwi.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...t_majors_.html
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    Germany's Import Prices Fall For First Time Since 2016



    Germany's import prices decreased for the first time in more than a year in February, figures from Destatis showed Tuesday. Import prices dropped 0.6 percent year-on-year in February, in contrast to January's 0.7 percent increase.

    This was the first decrease since October 2016 and bigger than the expected 0.3 percent fall.

    Month-on-month, import prices slid 0.6 percent versus a 0.5 percent rise in January.

    Economists had forecast a 0.3 percent drop. Excluding crude oil and mineral oil products, import prices decreased 1 percent from the same period of last year.

    Further, data showed that export prices grew 0.5 percent on year in February after gaining 0.7 percent a month ago.

    At the same time, prices remained flat on month versus January's 0.3 percent increase.

    Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex-new...nce_2016_.html
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