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Thread: Technical and Fundamental Analysis

  1. #11
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    warash is an unknown quantity at this point warash's Avatar
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    Combnation connected with both equally may perhaps provides you with the very best effects, although tecnicale research is usually a lot better intended for deal people won't be able to complete deal productively devoid of Ta standard research is usually far more cannot be successful.

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    rahmat23 (07-24-2012)

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    Technological research is usually beneficial. Standard research is additionally beneficial. Although a very good broker will probably employ both equally advisors in order to develop his or her approach together with transform his or her approach. In particular, but if your technological research states that EURUSD is usually way up that full week. in addition to sad to say, ECB pieces monthly interest by 1. 00% to help 0. 75%(standard), in the full week, you would like definitely not find out which the tendency will vary downward caused by of which 0. 25% minimize. And so work with both equally TECHNOLOGICAL IN ADDITION TO STANDARD RESEARCH.

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    Today’s Technical
    Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.2087 and 1.2167 and is accompanied by strong support at 1.2075 and by 1.2178 as strong resistance.
    If EUR/USD breaks out and closes below a 1.2068 level today, then this will indicate considerable bearish strength, while if EUR/USD manages to break out and close above a 1.2186 level, then this will denote high bullish strength. Alternatively, you can trade in a way to open a BUY position at the level of 1.2103, and SELL position at 1.2155; in this case both targets should be located at the level of 1.2127.

    ---------- Post added at 04:22 PM ---------- Previous post was at 04:18 PM ----------

    EUR/USD Daily Outlook
    Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside and current fall should target 1.1875 key support level next. On the upside, break of 1.2324 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

    ---------- Post added at 04:24 PM ---------- Previous post was at 04:22 PM ----------

    GBP/USD Still Vulnerable Around 1.55
    On Monday Pound/Dollar continued decreasing with almost 145 pips. The Cable depreciated from 1.5630 to 1.5484 yesterday, in line with the negative money flow sentiment at bellow -21%, closing the day at 1.5503. Today the British Pound is trading quietly, with movements at the lower end of yesterday's range for the time being.

    On the 1 hour chart quotes are holding within the trading range, while on the 3 hour chart quotes are moving within wider range. First resistance is yesterday's peak at 1.5630. Break above it should extend the bullish movement further towards 1.5754. The nearest support level is yesterday's bottom at 1.5484. Going bellow it should extend British Pound's reduction further down towards next downward objective 1.5360.

    ---------- Post added at 04:26 PM ---------- Previous post was at 04:24 PM ----------

    EUR/USD Stabilizes After China PMI
    On Monday Euro/Dollar continued decreasing with 90 pips. The European currency depreciated from 1.2159 to 1.2066 yesterday, matching the negative money flow sentiment at almost -17%, closing the day at 1.2115. This morning the Euro is trading quietly, and within yesterday's range for now.

    On the 1 hour chart the downward channel has resumed, while on the 3 hour chart the downward channel looks good. Break above the nearest resistance and yesterday's top at 1.2159 may trigger further strengthening of the Euro. Going bellow yesterday's bottom and first support at 1.2066, however, would confirm continuation of the bearish trend, towards next objective downwards 1.1950.

    Today's focus is on France Business confidence, and France, Germany and EU17 PMI, at 6:45, 7, 7:30 and 8 GMT respectively.

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    Euro maintains the longest losing streak in two months against the dollar before the release of German business confidence data predicted value reaches the weakest since 2010, fueling fears the debt crisis is hurting the eurozone economy.

    The euro also fell 0.2 per cent of 11-year lows against the yen after the Italian borrowing costs rose yesterday, weakening demand for Italian bonds this week. Moody's Investors Service lowered ratings outlook for the European Financial Stability Facility to negative from stable. The yen extended its gains from yesterday versus 16 major currencies of the world after Japan unexpectedly posted a trade surplus in June.

    "Economic weakness in Europe spread from the periphery to Germany, and I think the data tonight will show further evidence of that," said Mike Jones, currency analyst at Bank of Wellington in New Zealand. "Even the growth engine of Europe began to lose steam, and it is damaging European sentiment. That will keep the euro is weak."
    The euro traded at $ 1.2057 at 09:19 am in Tokyo from $ 1.2061 in New York yesterday. Five-day decline yesterday to become the longest since May. The common currency fell to 94.17 yen from 94.31 yesterday, when it touched 94.12 yen, its lowest since November 2000. The yen was at 78.09 per dollar, after rising 1.1 percent over the last five days to 78.18.

    ---------- Post added at 05:20 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:01 PM ----------

    EUR/USD Daily Outlook
    EUR/USD recovers after dipping to 1.2042. With 4 hours MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral first. But still, near term outlook remains bearish with 1.2324 resistance intact and deeper decline is expected. Below 1.2042 will target 1.1875 key support level next.

    In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4939 is treated as a falling leg inside the consolidation pattern that started at 1.6039 (2008 high) and could extend to 1.1875 low and below. In that case, though, strong support is expected from 1.1639/1875 support zone to contain downside and bring rebound. After all, such consolidation would extend further inside range of 1.1639/6039 for some more time. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2747 resistance will be the first sign of reversal and will turn focus back to 1.3486 for confirmation.

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    Technical analysis methods are very important method of trading in the market which is very effective. Technical analysis is very important, if you trade without loooking at the chart, then you are growing in mistakes. I will say that, most of the time, the technical method od trading the forex market is more guaranteed than the fundametal method alone.

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    Trading is very important.We should first analyze for trading.Without analyzing,we should take to trading.when you will know everything then you can trading for your safe life.all of wanted to happy life with economic.

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    The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, has just finished his presentation in London, which added a great relief to the markets. He announced that the presiding entity is ready to take any steps that are necessary to preserve the euro. He ended by saying "and believe me, what is done, it will be enough.” Accompanied by Governor of the Bank of England Mervin King, Draghi statements were made in the context of the Global Investment Conference.
    The single currency was largely benefited growing in a few minutes from 1.2115 to 1,2285, with subsequent to correction logic.
    This message appears to Draghi as a reversal of the ECB which, under the pressure from the IMF and the United States, should take concrete steps to avoid the euro devaluation against the dollar, but also to gain trust from investors again. And if that is not enough, it is also necessary to make sure that some countries will not leave the EU.
    Will it be a turnaround in the medium term? We think not. But there may be some recovery in the euro in the upcoming days, which also must pass the key resistance 1.3330. Over the years, this value has become a strong barrier for the euro, either upward or downward.
    The other currencies, whose short-term scenarios were similar, are also strengthened at this time.
    The Australian dollar was finally able to fill the gap left by the Asian session on Monday, while the British pound could recover from disappointing second quarter GDP met on Wednesday.
    The sudden rise of oil, meanwhile, gives strength to the Mexican peso, whose short-term trend is bullish against the dollar, despite the corrections of the last days, and the Canadian dollar, which again sees the deadlock before the U.S. dollar very close to it and it is likely to reach and even exceed this level.
    With European markets in a session euphoric, the German DAX 30 saved their uptrend on the daily charts with a touch on a line, whose break was devastating. The markets finally left very narrow price ranges, and for the first time move to the beat of good news.

  11. #18
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    Dollar Trades Low versus Euro Prior to US GDP Report
    Fri, Jul 27 2012, 11:01 GMT

    The US dollar was near two-week low against the euro prior to a report expected to show that US economy expanded slowest in a year. Dollar’s demand was also clipped by the gains in global stock yesterday, which increased the demand for riskier assets. The dollar was also down as speculations of a third round of quantitative easing rose in the market. The euro strengthened for the third day against the dollar and the Japanese currency as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi indicated that the bank will do whatever is necessary to protect the euro.

    Robert Rennie who is the Chief Currency Strategist in Sydney at Westpac Banking Corp indicated that the market might be headed for a short term risk-on period as there are signs of combined additional stimulus from the Fed and the ECB. The continued release of poor data from the US, has spurred speculations of QE3 while ECB council member has hinted that there are arguments in favor of giving ESM a banking license which would give it unlimited firepower to fight euro zone debt crisis. In addition, Draghi’s comment on commitment to fighting the euro crisis comes just a week after Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke indicated that the Fed is looking for ways to address weaknesses in the US economy.

    The US Gross Domestic Product report, which shows the value of goods and services produced by the US, is projected to have expanded by 1.4 percent in the second quarter down from 1.9 expansion in the first quarter of the year. The dollar closed the day yesterday in New York at $1.2330 against the euro, which is the weakest it has been since July 10. It was trading at $1.2281 against the euro during the Tokyo trading session today. The dollar is set for a weekly drop against the euro as it has fallen one percent this week. Against the yen, the greenback was little changed at 78.23 from 78.21 yen, it has fallen by 0.3 percent against the yen this week.

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    Technical analysis is good. Fundamental analysis is also good. but a trader can not take only one method they take all method and analysis all method

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    When we managed to follow the direction of movement / trend in the market, we will understand that in fact both fundamental analysis and technical analysis in the same degree of importance. Both of these analyzes should be a partner in our efforts to achieve a profit. The analogy is interesting as a picture, you can imagine for a second analysis is good at them like a sword with two back to back in the position of the enemy's working great and many. The trader can usually get stuck with a trap - a trap (trap) in the market bullish or bearish in the short term, but if we understand the fundamentals we will not be taken in a trap.

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