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Thread: Wave Analysis by InstaForex

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    Wave Analysis by InstaForex

    Dear forum members,
    Me and my colleagues are going to provide you with the latest analysis reviews. Please, follow our analysis and you will be informed about Forex. Hope, our reviews will help you to increase the efficiency of your trading.

    The source is instaforex.com

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    InstaForex Analysis
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    Technical analysis of the USD/CAD for December 21, 2010
    Support levels: 1.0000, 0.9980, 0.9930
    Resistance levels: 1.0167, 1.0290, 1.0380
    On a 4-hour graph the USD/CAD has successfully broken the upper limit of the established range to make a pullback further. Earlier the USD/CAD rebounded from the support level of 1.0000, which is also a bottom of a wide trading range.
    The uprising movement is supported by the fact that on a 4-hour chart the MACD divergence appeared. As it was mentioned before, if the USD/CAD breaks through the level of 1.0290, then this will lead to uprising movement with a target to 1.0380. The breakthrough of 1.0380 will mean that a pullback from 1.0680 ended and further advance should be expected. Moreover, a breakout of 1.0380 will indicate the formation of “Triple Bottom”.
    Nonetheless, a breakthrough of support level of 0.9980-1.0000 will allow the pair to reach the 0.9930 level.
    In a midterm, the currency pair will probably remain within the bounds of its wide range between 1.0000 and 1.0750-1.0850. In case the reversal takes place, then the breakout of 1.0680 will confirm the end of consolidation and that the downtrend from 1.3063 is breached. In this case it is forecasted that the USD/CAD will move up to the Fibonacci correction level 38.2 from 1.3063 to 0.9929 at 1.1126 with the next target to the Fibonacci correction level 61.8 at 1.1866.


    Performed by Vladimir Donin, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010

    More analysis - at instaforex.com

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    Copper review for 21/12/2010

    Copper futures closed on the upside on Monday amid the data that Chilean Dona Ines de Collahuasi Company stopped metal distribution.
    By the end of deals on COMEX the March prices were up by 4.7 cents or by 1.1% to 4.2060 dollar/pound.
    The main reason of the increase in metal prices on Monday was the information about one of the major copper mining companies in Chili Dona Ines de Collahuasi suspending distribution indefinitely. On Monday in the Company’s port an accident entailing 3 deaths took place.
    Besides, the strike at the Dona Ines de Collahuasi mine has been lasting for 33 days already. But until Monday the company has managed to perform the contracts.
    Copper futures refreshed multi-month highs amid growing demand for “red metal” and suspended distribution in Chili.
    Moreover, copper prices advanced because of the enhancing prospects of economic growth in the US and China. Copper is used extensively in industry, therefore any signs of economic growth indicate improving demand for meta


    Performed by Vladimir Donin, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010

    More analysis - at instaforex.com

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    The US stock market review for December 21, 2010

    On Monday the US trading was carried out within narrow ranges, furthermore the strong decline in American Express quotes dragged down the Dow Jones Industrial Average index. At the end of the trading day the DJIA decreased by 13.78 points, or by 0.12%, to 11478.13 points. The Nasdaq Composite rose by 6.59 points, or by 0.25%, to 2649.56 points. The Standard & Poor’s 500 grew by 3.17 points, or 0.25%, to 1247.08. According to investors, the market was affected by the opposing forces. On one hand, the positive economic signals are presented. However, they are leveled by the municipal bonds, situation in Europe and Korea. The concerns over the debt crisis in Europe and weekend tension over South Korea’s artillery drill moved to background during the session. During the most part of trading the stock indices were slightly increasing and declining, nevertheless, the Dow closed down. This drop was caused by the plunge in American Express shares that lost $1.51, or 3.4%, to $42.50. The company became more exposed after last week the Federal Reserve System proposed an offer regarding the interbank commissions on debit cards. Last week the stock of Visa and MasterCard descended following the FRS proposal. Nevertheless, the investors started to worry only on Monday about these measures for American Express. The stocks of other financial companies gained on Monday. J.P. Morgan Chase quotes rose by 28 cents, or by 0.7%, to $39.95, and Bank of America securities edged up 5 cents, or 0.4%, to $12.62.
    3M stocks also shown the strong dynamics, having ascended by 97 cents, or 1.1%, to $87.34 after the company announced that it is discussing with its chief executive George Buckley the question about the successor.
    Boeing quotes edged lower $1.76, or 2.7%, to $63.27 following the statement of chief executive of Qatar Airways that the company could cancel the orders for 787 Dreamliner if there are further delays of delivery. AT&T shares fell by 8 cents, or by 0.3%, to $29.13. The company said it will pay $1.93 million for spectrum licenses from Qualcomm as AT&T is trying to strengthen its positions in 4G service. Qualcomm plans to curtail the provision of mobile video services. The shares of the company shed 2 cents to $49.44. These days the market moves in an uptrend. For a week the DJIA rose by 0.7%, for third week in a row. Over a year the index increased by more than 10%. The investors, inspired by the recent US macroeconomic data, expect that the advance will last till the end of the year. However, the volume of trading will probably remain low this week because of the holidays, which can intensify the market fluctuations.


    Performed by Vladimir Donin, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010

    More analysis - at instaforex.com

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    GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels, December 21, 2010

    GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels, December 21, 2010

    GBP/JPY has finished wave 131.61-129.55 (wave A - colored red in the chart) and is now developing corrective wave B. The targets of the correction are Fibonacci retracements of 131.61-129.55 and 130.62-129.55.
    Resistances:
    - 130.21 = .618 retracement
    - 130.34 = .382 ret
    - 130.58 = .50 ret
    - 130.82 = .618 ret
    If the price breaks below 129.55 to continue the downtrend the nearest target will be the expansions (objective point) off 133.03-130.75-131.61.
    Support:
    - 129.33 = objective point (OP)
    More targets will be available when the size of the upwave is known.



    Performed by Roman Molodiashin, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010


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    The analysis reviews are indeed very helpful. Keep them coming.

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    Fundamental Analysis, December 21, 2010

    Asian stock markets have recorded index declines this morning due to renewed concerns for a military conflict between North and South Korea. As such, the Tokyo stock exchange declined by 0.9%, the Shanghai exchange dived by 1.4%, the Hong Kong stock exchange dropped 0.3% and the Singapore stock exchange fell by about 0.5%.
    In the American macroeconomic arena, no major new data are expected today. Tomorrow, the Department of Commerce is expected to publish the final GDP data for the third quarter, while the NAR will publish data regarding existing home sales for November. On Thursday the Department of Commerce will publish the data on non-consumable good orders and private spending and income data. On Friday there will not be trading on Wall Street due to the Christmas vacations.
    In Europe, last week's decision by the Moody's credit rating agency to lower Ireland's credit rating by five levels, as well as concerns for a possible lowering of the rating for Ireland and Spain are weighing down on the European currency, which has weakened against all leading global currencies, falling to an unprecedented low against the Swiss franc. The dollar is strengthening against the majority of currencies, reaching a three-day high against the Euro.
    The weakening of the Euro has as its background also a surprising drop in consumer confidence in the Eurozone. Preliminary data of the European Commission's index have shown that the index had dropped in December to a level of -11 points, as compared to -9.4 points in November, while analysts have predicted a rise to a -9 point level. This is the first decline in six months.

    Performed by Gerardo Porras Palomino, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010


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    USD/CHF, Wave analysis for December 21. (Daily Strategy)





    USD/CHF
    In the daily graph we can see Elliot's wave cycle, which had just completed the fourth corrective wave that marks the beginning of the fifth,declining wave. Since the first wave is equal in length to the third, the fifth wave is expected to be the longest. Thus, we should expect a wave of downwards movement that will lead the pair beyond the major support level of 0.9350 Swiss Francs for one United States dollar.



    Performed by Gerardo Porras Palomino, Analytical expert
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    GBP/USD, Upward Movement is expected, December 21, 2010 (Daily Strategy)





    GBP/USD
    The current wave of downwards movements in the British pound – United States dollar pair had cleaned out the range of stop-loss orders that had been poised under the previous low around 1.5480, thus drying out the selling power left around these levels. The way is now open for a new wave of upwards movement that is expected to push the pair towards the last highs around 1.5800.
    It would be well to note the strong positive deviation from the MACD indicators, supporting the bullish predictions on the pair. Despite that, to avoid a false buy signal, a buy deal may be made conditional around the weekly support level of 1.5340. The exit goal should be placed relative to the resistance level of 1.5800 GBP/USD.

    Performed by Gerardo Porras Palomino, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010



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    GBP/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for December 21, 2010






    Overview:
    Another correction has (rather unexpectedly) started on the pound. The sell signal with a target level of 1.5173 is presented. The current signal is strong and confirmed as the price managed to fixate below the Ichimoku Cloud and the Chinkou Span fixed below the price curve. It is recommended to start trading only after the correction movement ends. The first target of the downside movement is 1.5355 – the first support level. In case the first support level is passed the next target will be the second support level of 1.5176. The downwards motion will be presented until the price is below the Kijun-Sen (1.5614), but if the price strengthens above this line, then it is recommended to cut short positions. The Chinkou Span is below the price graph, thus confirming the current sell signal and bullish sentiment on the market. The Bollinger Bands indicate the downtrend, the lines are converging and directed down, thus pointing to current correction. The MACD is ascending, thus indicating the correction movement.
    Trading recommendations:
    Currently it is recommended to trade down with the target to 1.5355 and further to 1.5176. Stop Loss is placed above 1.5614. We enter the market and open short positions only after the MACD reverses down.
    In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
    The chart annotation:
    Ichimoku indicator:
    Tenkan-sen — red line
    Kijun-Sen — blue line
    Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
    Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
    Chinkou Span — green line
    Bollinger Bands indicator:
    3 yellow lines
    MACD indicator:
    The red line and the histogram with the white bars in the indicators window.



    Performed by Stanislav Polyanskiy, Analytical expert
    InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2010

    More analysis - at instaforex.com

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