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Thread: News that moves the market

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    News that moves the market

    NEWS THAT MOVES THE MARKET

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    I want to ask this questions to economic or fundamental users.
    if we are to use fundamental system of trading
    how do we know does news that can money the forex market?
    if any one with the answer should let me know because i can exchange that fact with a working technical analysis risk free system.

  2. Fb
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    JAPANESE YEN NEWS
    Wed, 09 Feb 2011 23:59:00 GMT

    $JPY: DOMESTIC CORPORATE GOODS PRICE INDEX (YoY) (JAN) 1.6% VERSUS 1.4% EXPECTED

    $JPY: DOMESTIC CORPORATE GOODS PRICE INDEX (MoM) (JAN) 0.5% VERSUS 0.3% EXPECTED

    $JPY: MACHINE ORDERS (YoY) (DEC) -1.6% VERSUS 2.2% EXPECTED

    $JPY: MACHINE ORDERS (MoM) (DEC) 1.7% VERSUS 5% EXPECTED


    Source: http://www.dailyfx.com/real_time_news/

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    British Pound To Consolidate Following Sharp Rebound

    The British Pound recouped the losses from the overnight trade to reach a high of 1.6012, and the sterling may continue to trend higher going into the end of the week as it maintains the upward trend carried over from the previous month. The GBP/USD is 30pips higher on the day after moving 87% of its average true range, and the exchange rate may continue to pare the decline from earlier this week as it appears to have found near-term support around former resistance at 1.6000. As the Bank of England maintains its current policy in February, interest rate expectations are likely to gather pace going forward, and speculation for a rate hike later this year should translate into additional British Pound strength as investors weigh the prospects for future policy. However, as the rebound in the relative strength index tapers off ahead of 70, the exchange should consolidate going into the Asian trade, but the rise in U.K. producer prices could spark a short-term rally in the pound-dollar as the central bank holds a hawkish outlook for inflation. In turn, we may see the GBP/USD make another run at 1.6300 going into the end of the week, and the exchange rate should maintain the upward trend from January as investors speculate the central bank to gradually normalize monetary policy later this year.

    Source: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technic...medium=twitter

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    Japanese Yen Could Face Range Bound Price Action
    By David Song, Currency Analyst
    10 February 2011 18:06 GMT

    The Japanese Yen continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with the USD/JPY advancing to a fresh monthly high of 83.29, and the exchange rate may continue to push higher as it breaks out of the downward trend from the end of the previous year. The USD/JPY is nearly 80 points higher from the open after moving 129% of its ATR, but we are likely to see a corrective retracement unfold going into the Asian session as the relative strength falls back from a high of 82. In turn, we may see the dollar-yen look to close the gap from the 120-SMA at 82.44, and the pair may consolidate going into the end of the week as the near-term rally appears to be slowing ahead of 83.50-70, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the 2010 high to low. If the USD/JPY finds resistance at the 23.6% Fib, price action should trend sideways over the coming days as support holds at 81.00, and the dollar-yen may offer a good range-trade opportunity as it breaks out of its recent trend.

    Source: http://bit.ly/ei1ZMW

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    World News
    Monday, March 7, 2011

    The euro surged above $1.40 for the first time since November on Friday in New York as investors reacted to a mildly disappointing U.S. non-farm payrolls report and continued to bet on expectations of euro-zone rate hikes. More upheaval in North Africa and the Middle East, meanwhile, pushed up oil prices and sent investors scrambling into the Swiss franc, gold and other safe-haven assets. But widening interest-rate differentials reigned as the main market driver. Investors expect the European Central Bank to raise interest rates possibly as soon as April, while the Federal Reserve is expected to keep its loose monetary policy much longer. "The game in town now is to second guess what is the next major central bank to acknowledge rising inflationary pressures and respond by raising interest rates," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist with Bank of New York Mellon. Investors continued to digest ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet's surprisingly hawkish tone after Thursday's rate-setting meeting. As a result, the prospect for higher rates in Europe trumped the U.S. jobs report. Overall, new data indicated that the U.S. jobs market rebounded in February and unemployment fell below 9% for the first time in nearly two years, the latest signs of a steadily improving economy. But nonfarm payrolls rose by 192,000 last month, below the forecast consensus of 200,000, causing some market disappointment. The report failed to give the dollar a much-needed rebound, and instead the euro shot up to a four-month high against the greenback. "If it's a race between the ECB is going to hike rates...and a two-tenths decline in the U.S. unemployment rate, the ECB won," said Jeffrey Young, head of North American FX research at Barclays Capital. Many investors were taking long positions on the euro ahead of the weekend, analysts said.

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    Thu, 10 Mar 2011 11:58:12 GMT

    BANK OF ENGLAND MAINTAINS BENCHMARK INTEREST RATE AT 0.50%

    BANK OF ENGLAND HOLDS ASSET PURCHASE PLAN AT 200B POUNDS

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    US
    Hawkish talk at the U.S. Federal Reserve will soon look just as overdone as hawkish talk at the European Central Bank. Certainly, members of these central banks are justified in their calls for an end to monetary laxity. The economies of both the U.S. and the euro zone are picking up and global recovery is bringing a fresh wave of inflation that needs to be tackled. But any monetary tightening now could prove premature in both cases. The primary risk is the threat of an oil shock. At the moment, the promise of increased production by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has helped to bring the price of crude oil back down from its recent highs. Nonetheless, chances are that prices will start to rally again on any increased political unrest in the Middle East and north Africa. The U.S. appears to be edging closer to imposing a no-fly zone over Libya and the stability of the region's largest oil producer--Saudi Arabia--remains in question. But geopolitical tensions aside, both the economies of the U.S. and the euro zone have their own internal problems that could well keep any early plans for monetary tightening in check. The risk of a sovereign default, as the cost of debt servicing for most 'peripherals' continues to rise, is a familiar enough problem. With euro-zone leaders still showing little progress in negotiating a longer-term debt solution, this problem isn't about to go away. Apart from the debtors, though, there is the additional problem of the lenders. Many major banks in the region still show little sign of weaning themselves off the cheap funding the ECB made available during the financial crisis. If they don't do that soon, more expensive funds could come as quite a shock. Over the in the U.S., Dallas Fed governor Richard Fisher's assertion that the Fed's quantitative easing should be wound down now comes as the U.S. recovery finally shows signs of boosting the jobs market and the confidence of the U.S. consumer can be expected to rise. However, the fragile recovery remains highly vulnerable to a sustained rise in crude oil prices that would essentially act as a direct tax on incomes.

    Europe
    The euro was on the rebound in European trading hours but was still down on the day after Moody's downgraded Spain's debt rating. Sterling also traded higher against the dollar, but was lower on the day, ahead of the BOE rate decision and after industrial and manufacturing production was better than expected. The dollar was grinding higher against the yen and against the swiss franc.

    Asia
    The euro lost ground against the dollar Thursday in Asia after surprisingly poor Chinese trade data, and dealers said the common currency is likely to keep falling for the rest of the global day. According to customs data released earlier in the day, China's exports in February rose only 2.4% from a year earlier, markedly lower than January's 37.7% rise and the survey's median forecast of a 25.9% expansion. Economists said the result was due to the nation's Lunar New Year holidays during the month, but the headline figures were shocking enough to prompt dealers to sell the euro in a rush. Weaker Chinese economic growth is often interpreted as a negative to the health of the global economy, therefore a sell-factor for the European currency. "My immediate impression of the outcome was 'what the heck? how is that possible?,'" said Tsutomu Soma, a senior dealer at Okasan Securities. He added it was just a bad day for the euro because investor appetite was weakening even before the data release due to New Zealand's rate-cut as well as Australia's weaker-than-expected jobs data. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its official cash rate by 50 basis points to 2.50% while the number of Australian jobs fell by 10,100 in February, compared with a market consensus for a 20,000 increase. These two factors weakened the regional share prices, damaging demand for the risk-sensitive euro in turn. The euro was at $1.3868 from $1.3907 New York Wednesday, and dealers said it may fall to $1.3800 later in the global day because of the number of automated stop-loss selling orders around $1.3850. Against the yen, it was at Y114.88 at 0450 GMT from Y115.06. Some analysts said the declines in the euro won't be a one-day occurrence and investors should prepare for further disappointment.

    World
    The Swiss franc gained broadly against its rivals Wednesday in New York, as an acceleration in Swiss inflation raised expectations for a more hawkish tone from the Swiss National Bank, and more turmoil in Libya spurred safe-haven flows. The euro, meanwhile, see-sawed in a range against the U.S. dollar, as investors wavered between euro-zone sovereign debt worries and the prospect that the European Central Bank could raise interest rates as early as April. Markets also looked warily ahead to several meetings of euro-zone leaders this month, which will discuss euro-zone policy coordination and its regional bailout fund. "We've had a lot of volatility lately and I think the market is taking a bit of a breather because we do have the (European Union) summit coming up," said Carl Forcheski, director for foreign exchange at Societe Generale. Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar dropped against both the U.S. dollar and the Australian dollar after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decided to cut its key policy rate by 50 basis points. Late Wednesday, the euro was at $1.3907 from $1.3905 late Tuesday, according to EBS via CQG. The dollar was at Y82.74 from Y82.67, while the euro was at Y115.06 from Y114.96. The U.K. pound was at $1.6201 from $1.6159. The dollar was at CHF0.9296 from CHF0.9351. Swiss consumer-price inflation outpaced forecasts, running at an annual rate of 0.5% in February. That, in addition to more hawkish rhetoric from SNB Vice President Thomas Jordan recently, has fueled hopes that the SNB will be raising rates sooner than expected. Reports that Libya's military was bombing rebels around the oil town of Ras Lanuf also led some traders to opt for the franc over the euro and the dollar. Meanwhile, against the dollar, the euro shuttled between about $1.3850 to $1.3950, as markets grew increasingly uneasy about the region's sovereign debt crisis. Such concerns are now beginning to outweigh the prospect that the ECB could raise interest rates ahead of other central banks in Europe and before the Federal Reserve, which had spurred the euro's recent gains, analysts said.

    Copyright by Dow Jones News GmbH. All news is acquired with journalistic accuracy. No liability is assumed for delays or errors. This news summary was brought to you by Dow Jones on behalf of FxPro.com

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    US stocks leaped two per cent on Friday sparked by the dramatic measures adopted in Brussels to stem the eurozone crisis and stimulate growth, giving the markets a strong end to a rocky first half.
    The Nasdaq finished with a shock 3.0 per cent gain, as Apple put on 2.6 per cent and Google rose 2.8 per cent.
    Big industrial groups led the charge upward, with General Electric rising 3.1 per cent, 3M 2.8 per cent, United Technologies 4.1 per cent and Boeing 3.8 per cent.
    At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 277.07 points (2.2 per cent) at 12,879.33.
    The S&P 500 index gained 33.08 points (2.49 per cent) to 1,362.12, while the tech-rich Nasdaq rose 85.56 (3.00 per cent) to 2,935.05.


    Read more: http://www.news.com.au/business/brea...#ixzz21RZIUN00

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    I want to ask this questions to economic or fundamental users.
    if we are to use fundamental system of trading
    how do we know does news that can money the forex market?
    if any one with the answer should let me know because i can exchange that fact with a working technical analysis risk free system.

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    that complex question has many answer. Some market overs are obvious while others creep up on us unseen. in this and subsequent articles. I will look at some of the economic, political and social issue.

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